There is a lot of talk online now about freezing the war. Putin and Zelensky should sit down at the negotiating table and stop the fighting. Enough bloodshed. People's lives are more valuable than territory.
I perfectly understand the feelings of people who dream of ending the war - the sooner the better. But let's try to model what would happen if the fighting stopped right now. I won't even remind you that there are thousands of Ukrainians thrown into prisons in the occupied territory.
A ceasefire will not lead to peace. Putin has set his sights on occupying ALL of Ukraine. He has no regrets about starting the war, no regrets about the hundreds of thousands of dead people. He only regrets that he didn't hit hard enough. A ceasefire is his cherished dream right now. He needs a break in order to make tens of millions of shells, prepare tens of thousands of new drones and missiles, mobilize a multi-million dollar army and hit Ukraine much harder.
We have already passed the ceasefire. Let's solve the problem of Crimea in a peaceful diplomatic way. Let's not go to war. This led to the seizure of Donbass and thousands of dead. And after Donbas, everyone was talking about a ceasefire - look, the conflict is already subsiding, let's solve everything through negotiations. This led to February 24.
A ceasefire right now, when the initiative on the battlefield is in the hands of Ukraine, when Russia is under sanctions, when the whole world is helping Ukraine - is a very bad idea. Everyone will forget about Ukraine - the war is over, the new Chamberlain presented the signed agreement to the public at the airfield with the words, "I have brought peace for our generation." Aid to Ukraine will be drastically reduced. The world has enough problems of its own. The US elections will be held, some other conflict will break out, or a new epidemic will break out. Meanwhile, Russia will build new gunpowder and missile factories. It will digest Belarus and add its army to its army. It will carry out total mobilization in the occupied territories. And strike again. Ten times stronger.
No. Peace is possible on completely different terms - return of all occupied territories, payment of reparations and extradition of war criminals. And the security of Ukraine's borders can only be ensured by the country's accession to NATO.
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